TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77ff…4dde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$49.06
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$224.34
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+202.7%+$202.7
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$480.4
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.31
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$44.68
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+37%+$19.97
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$16.7
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.1%+$30.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+59%+$242.43
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+54.7%+$49.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$549.45
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$190.75
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$237.27
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$650.41
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$73.22
ASB Classic, Qualification: Kristina Mladenovic vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$35
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.12
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+79.2%+$97.45
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.46
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.97
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$24.55
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$48.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+156.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+89.9%+$89.89
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.22
Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$25.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notre Dame win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.