Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eafe24513fdb45479ccdf17ad836ca60f38b80e25a4e330151335aadb5cc9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FSV Mainz 05of FC Bayern München, 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 31,422$17,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,568.84 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked FC Bayern München | 54c | 20,007$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.58 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 18,679$9,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 11,505$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,882.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 11,363$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.28 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 10,370$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.19 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 9,999$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 8,676$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 8,400$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.39 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 7,260$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…e75ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 4,766$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 3,898$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.79 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 3,055$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 3,000$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.99 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 2,918$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.32 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 42c | 2,464$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 2,204$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 2,113$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.68 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.86 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 1,868$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.79 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…8717backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 1,749$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 1,550$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,534$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 1,410$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 999.99$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 942.35$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.34 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 771.6$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 731.37$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.49 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 724.94$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 668$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked FC Bayern München | 58c | 653.46$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 643$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 48c | 625.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 625.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 578.94$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.38 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 566.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…a90dbacked FC Bayern München | 55c | 533.69$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked FC Bayern München | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…1ce5backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 507$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed FC Bayern München | 53c | 472$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 350.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed FC Bayern München | 61c | 336.24$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 46c | 317.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 45c | 302$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 247.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 227.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…be02backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed FC Bayern München | 71c | 190.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed FC Bayern München | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked FC Bayern München | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed FC Bayern München | 58c | 174.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 170.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 159.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 45c | 156.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 37c | 154$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…9ca6backed FC Bayern München | 56c | 152.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…ada9backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 70c | 143.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 47c | 140$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 134.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c56bbacked FC Bayern München | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…85e3backed FC Bayern München | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 52c | 122$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked FC Bayern München | 51c | 119.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 118.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…38c9backed FC Bayern München | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked FC Bayern München | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 42c | 108$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed FC Bayern München | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed FC Bayern München | 59c | 100.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.