Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ec9e6b344497782f981c71298806cf44a79547f6fe67cfdc529ff415173d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 62c | 40,062$24,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,098.55 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 50c | 28,020$13,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 37c | 19,657$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Over | 65c | 10,764$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 10,337$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.08 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 6,854$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 40c | 6,199$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 67c | 5,944$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 74c | 4,680$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.73 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 46c | 4,350$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 60c | 4,201$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.92 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 3,004$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.57 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 66c | 2,903$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 2c | 2,700$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 62c | 2,604$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.36 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 2,601$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.38 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 39c | 2,487$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 39c | 2,310$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.65 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 50c | 2,185$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…2874backed Under | 39c | 1,644$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 56c | 1,410$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 59c | 1,253$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.88 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 40c | 1,069$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 55c | 709.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 72c | 658.35$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 71c | 575$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 39c | 570.85$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 41c | 530$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 38c | 438.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Under | 54c | 425.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 47c | 397.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Over | 51c | 388.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 63c | 386.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 384.04$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…ac67backed Under | 51c | 382$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over | 71c | 356.2$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Under | 38c | 349$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 11c | 341.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…c56bbacked Over | 70c | 318.57$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 42c | 299.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Under | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 289$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 70c | 284.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 39c | 270.22$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 266.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 56c | 220.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 27c | 195.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Over | 50c | 151.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Over | 55c | 147.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 61c | 133.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 75c | 122.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 47c | 114.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…e729backed Over | 62c | 112$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Over | 64c | 109.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Under | 48c | 103.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 35c | 91.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 83.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 61c | 82.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Under | 38c | 67.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 64.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 41c | 59.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…767cbacked Under | 40c | 58.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c14…9d72backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 71c | 50.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 72c | 45.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Over | 55c | 41.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.