TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c29,168$11,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,5756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Over63c8,888$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.446046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over60c6,197$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.263441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0503464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under41c4,999$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.3513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under41c3,370$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.8740150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b22…e5f7backed Over72c2,956$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c2,795$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6771,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,961$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.714,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.722343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.212649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.897252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over73c1,279$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.9629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under37c1,088$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.6649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over74c1,014$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over49c991.84$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4868236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under39c816.1$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.821,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4965754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over56c621.8$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2123926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Over62c484.84$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over50c469.58$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.793737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Over56c450.55$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under76c443.43$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.428662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over62c440$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.86642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Over60c429$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.113348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under40c411.64$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.931,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under41c404.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22411142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c391.2$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.361,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c371.9$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8915263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1767737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over56c313.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.112042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18021839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c275.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6874256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x924f…d049backed Over70c262.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.711936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under33c241.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c215.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12637342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over59c199.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9939561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over63c176.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over73c166.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.587350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over61c162.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a4…554abacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over61c147.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5718059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c144.87$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.423435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under41c142.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.313941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under41c105.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over67c102.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.763850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da7…100dbacked Over60c101.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over63c101.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over63c74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa756…20b9backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Over59c71.71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over52c66.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c65.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed Over62c58.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Under41c56.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under34c53.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over66c53.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdecd…594abacked Over63c52.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Under70c51.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.286048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dd…9889backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc687…e856backed Over63c47.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f27…5f88backed Under65c46.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under39c45.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c3…cc88backed Over65c44.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Under45c42.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.116544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256245.2%28 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.