Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0abfd85f78cf78497acafd4644af9e1478f259f5a06edb3180f5f67f657ba92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 7,650$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 37c | 6,746$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 45c | 4,969$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Under | 54c | 2,448$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.1 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed Under | 66c | 2,209$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 1,940$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,565$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 38c | 1,499$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.64 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 35c | 1,200$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.2 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 70c | 1,137$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.57 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 63c | 905$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 41c | 462.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 62c | 405.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 63c | 366.35$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Under | 74c | 286.15$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 27c | 254.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…e4c6backed Under | 76c | 195.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 37c | 183.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 37c | 107.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa513…40fdbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Under | 64c | 78.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 41c | 59.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Over | 22c | 56.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 38c | 52.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 40c | 50.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…de63backed Over | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…a55cbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 38c | 34.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b3…f001backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…5898backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.