NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1799ec23e150d6c386bd8333f0a3268cc8fb60822afa362b85f3e651c0b4b9dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Broncos, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,586,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,589,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,586,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chiefs | 50c | 517,377$257,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259,428.08 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Chiefs | 50c | 501,000$248,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,070.7 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Broncos | 50c | 406,658$203,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,328.88 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Broncos | 51c | 224,503$114,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,496.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Broncos | 49c | 224,477$109,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,993.64 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Broncos | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Broncos | 49c | 91,944$45,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,052.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Broncos | 50c | 49,369$24,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,869.95 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Broncos | 50c | 48,878$24,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,624.62 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,850 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Broncos | 50c | 30,000$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,100 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Broncos | 50c | 20,001$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Broncos | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 50c | 12,074$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.31 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chiefs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Broncos | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 51c | 9,914$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.62 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Broncos | 50c | 9,850$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 50c | 9,607$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.73 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chiefs | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Broncos | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Broncos | 50c | 7,186$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.1 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiefs | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.01 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Chiefs | 50c | 6,002$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.94 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Chiefs | 50c | 5,309$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.72 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Chiefs | 49c | 5,305$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.68 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chiefs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Broncos | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Chiefs | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Broncos | 51c | 4,505$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Chiefs | 51c | 4,100$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Chiefs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Broncos | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Broncos | 49c | 3,198$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.05 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 49c | 3,111$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.29 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…e5bcbacked Broncos | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 42c | 2,949$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.85 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Broncos | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.91 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Broncos | 50c | 2,850$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Chiefs | 56c | 2,509$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.34 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Broncos | 12c | 2,301$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chiefs | 50c | 2,242$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.32 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chiefs | 51c | 2,184$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Broncos | 59c | 2,107$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.24 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chiefs | 50c | 2,070$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Broncos | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Chiefs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Chiefs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Broncos | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Broncos | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Broncos | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…568bbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,987$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Chiefs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Broncos | 50c | 1,738$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…0e64backed Broncos | 50c | 1,559$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Broncos | 50c | 1,557$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Chiefs | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Chiefs | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,241$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.58 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Chiefs | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Chiefs | 50c | 1,090$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Chiefs | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Broncos | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Broncos | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Chiefs | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Chiefs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Chiefs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chiefs | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Broncos | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Broncos | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Chiefs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 22c | 940$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Chiefs | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Broncos | 50c | 896.08$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Broncos | 29c | 872.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Broncos | 49c | 859.8$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chiefs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Chiefs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Broncos | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Broncos | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Chiefs | 47c | 761.6$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Broncos | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Broncos | 11c | 711.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Broncos | 50c | 670$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Broncos | 49c | 656$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…766ebacked Broncos | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Broncos | 51c | 618.69$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Broncos | 50c | 602.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Broncos | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Broncos | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Chiefs | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Broncos | 25c | 580$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 48c | 571.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Broncos | 49c | 562.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…5b9cbacked Broncos | 50c | 540.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Broncos | 31c | 536.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Chiefs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Chiefs won
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 15.5Over won
- Broncos vs. ChiefsBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-11.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.