NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c7bea862c1259e33685d4f83630b0dd03a4cd4937428f8403fb4de97fe0acac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 23,463$11,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,551.51 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 46c | 22,222$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222.12 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 19,444$9,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,916.4 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 16,032$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.6 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 11,666$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 11,607$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.25 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 8,750$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 53c | 4,702$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Over | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 3,368$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.48 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 53c | 2,080$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 50c | 1,335$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 1,248$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.08 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 407$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 53c | 239.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…b2b5backed Over | 46c | 209$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…88e5backed Under | 55c | 209$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Over | 51c | 193.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 160.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Under | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Under | 50c | 116.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Under | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 86.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 51c | 80.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 53c | 75.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Over | 51c | 35.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…6d8bbacked Over | 46c | 23.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 57c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Chiefs won
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 15.5Over won
- Broncos vs. ChiefsBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-11.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.