NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54713a0d8512211fc40c4fe166592078ebf2ba68e1b2b4bbee754203c7b63e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 145,402$72,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,676.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 50c | 50,667$25,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,346.83 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 50c | 44,444$22,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,222 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Under | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.95 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 38,098$19,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000.76 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…5500backed Over | 51c | 27,200$13,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,872 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Under | 49c | 27,200$13,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,872 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Over | 51c | 26,050$13,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,285.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 50c | 21,000$10,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,490 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 18,317$9,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.28 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 24c | 12,257$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.35 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 10,595$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.4 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 25c | 10,456$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.39 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,861$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.71 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 55c | 8,623$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.44 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 8,427$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.6 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 7,133$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.51 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 51c | 6,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…c62dbacked Over | 54c | 4,818$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 49c | 3,181$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 43c | 2,482$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 2,435$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.96 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 56c | 2,322$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.45 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 55c | 2,259$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.71 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,978$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.55 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 27c | 1,877$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 6c | 1,498$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 1,466$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.22 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 52c | 1,431$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.44 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 1,422$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 53c | 1,318$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.62 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Under | 45c | 1,200$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 51c | 1,166$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Over | 6c | 1,100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Under | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 41c | 965.04$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 53c | 935.85$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 59c | 853.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.02 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 802.91$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Under | 47c | 706.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 56c | 560.65$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 49c | 543$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 23c | 488$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 25c | 484.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 476.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 30c | 422.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Over | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 42c | 376.01$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Under | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 56c | 358.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…82c4backed Over | 57c | 352.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2b…a46cbacked Over | 51c | 349.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…84b2backed Under | 50c | 348.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 52c | 320.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 55c | 313.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 45c | 295.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 22c | 295.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Under | 50c | 292.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 286.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 35c | 282.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 57c | 275$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 269.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…7ba5backed Over | 37c | 254.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 50c | 239$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 236.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…7f54backed Over | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 20c | 221.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…7046backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Chiefs won
- Broncos Team Total: O/U 15.5Over won
- Broncos vs. ChiefsBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-11.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.