NFL · resolved market

Broncos vs. Chiefs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946cb298dd24916efed1569a452d37722b79fdfc85e0dd860066f2056f977c33

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Broncosof Broncos, Chiefs
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,430,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,921,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,430,345 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Chiefs	12c	750,000$92,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,211.51	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Chiefs	14c	241,390$32,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,632.42	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos	76c	226,955$173,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,375.9	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Chiefs	13c	207,656$27,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,675.07	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Chiefs	12c	180,243$21,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,629.21	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Chiefs	12c	167,433$20,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,740.66	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Chiefs	11c	141,920$15,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,752.08	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1894…9720backed Chiefs	14c	138,036$19,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,913.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Broncos	75c	132,844$99,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,912.33	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Chiefs	35c	120,451$41,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,690.88	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Chiefs	12c	120,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Chiefs	27c	113,441$30,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,629.2	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Chiefs	12c	91,961$11,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,435.29	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Chiefs	12c	90,000$10,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,499.99	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf165…2194backed Chiefs	14c	80,183$11,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,343.55	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Chiefs	25c	64,811$16,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,202.75	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chiefs	20c	60,929$12,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,201.84	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Broncos	80c	56,347$44,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,410.95	127	48%61 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Chiefs	17c	40,366$6,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,757.13	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chiefs	27c	36,400$9,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,654.88	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Chiefs	12c	32,692$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chiefs	12c	30,590$3,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,749.22	315	43.2%136 W · 179 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chiefs	14c	28,609$4,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,057.6	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Broncos	80c	28,509$22,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,767.42	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Chiefs	13c	24,003$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120.36	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Chiefs	20c	23,383$4,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,579.65	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Chiefs	22c	23,053$5,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,032.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Broncos	76c	20,062$15,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,829.88	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Broncos	71c	20,000$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,800	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Chiefs	15c	18,242$2,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,742.12	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Broncos	72c	15,062$10,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,275.98	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Chiefs	23c	14,835$3,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,419.5	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Broncos	77c	14,434$11,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,322.33	276	44.2%122 W · 154 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Chiefs	20c	14,000$2,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.28	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Chiefs	4c	12,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chiefs	8c	11,429$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.92	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Chiefs	12c	11,110$1,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.2	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Chiefs	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-6.3wins	-0.20per pick	46cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Chiefs	13c	9,597$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.32	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Chiefs	20c	9,412$1,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,846.77	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Broncos	73c	9,300$6,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,510.99	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Chiefs	13c	8,903$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.58	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Chiefs	11c	8,521$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs	12c	8,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chiefs	25c	7,981$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010.12	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Broncos	79c	7,764$6,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610.96	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x425f…5493backed Chiefs	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+100%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Chiefs	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Chiefs	19c	7,432$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,410.01	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Chiefs	14c	7,135$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.63	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Broncos	79c	7,100$5,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,514.58	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Broncos	74c	7,000$5,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850.14	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.8wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Chiefs	13c	6,995$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.34	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Chiefs	12c	6,984$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.08	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a1…7ae9backed Broncos	72c	6,805$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,904.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Chiefs	28c	6,480$1,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,814.5	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+7.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Chiefs	16c	6,400$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed Chiefs	20c	6,300$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.58	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Chiefs	25c	5,811$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.11	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Chiefs	26c	5,756$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chiefs	12c	5,588$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.84	192	35.4%68 W · 124 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Broncos	77c	5,294$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.66	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Broncos	75c	5,280$3,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.85	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Chiefs	11c	4,974$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.07	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Broncos	80c	4,776$3,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.95	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Broncos	69c	4,348$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,347.83	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chiefs	23c	4,086$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.68	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Chiefs	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54a3…102cbacked Chiefs	12c	3,903$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.98	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+5.5wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Chiefs	13c	3,846$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Chiefs	17c	3,778$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.02	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8499…83a8backed Chiefs	6c	3,727$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bdf…d2f3backed Chiefs	12c	3,700$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Chiefs	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Chiefs	28c	3,518$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.9	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa96b…5875backed Broncos	67c	3,498$2,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Chiefs	15c	3,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked Chiefs	11c	3,333$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.63	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Chiefs	11c	3,019$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.95	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Chiefs	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Broncos	72c	2,999$2,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.75	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Chiefs	14c	2,987$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.8	50	38%19 W · 31 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Chiefs	19c	2,816$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.37	151	32.5%49 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Chiefs	16c	2,785$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Chiefs	14c	2,775$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.38	42	4.8%2 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed30…f821backed Broncos	78c	2,725$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.72	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Chiefs	12c	2,619$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.27	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Chiefs	27c	2,551$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.16	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Broncos	78c	2,543$1,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.24	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Chiefs	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed Chiefs	13c	2,498$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.23	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Broncos	73c	2,466$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.75	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Chiefs	13c	2,457$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.42	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…09d9backed Chiefs	13c	2,396$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…b063backed Chiefs	20c	2,344$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.42	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe107…eef0backed Chiefs	13c	2,263$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.16	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Broncos	73c	2,200$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Chiefs	31c	2,167$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.9	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Chiefs	14c	2,090$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.54	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Chiefs	14c	2,039$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Broncos vs. Chiefsthis page
1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Chiefs won
Broncos Team Total: O/U 15.5Over won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H MoneylineChiefs won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 18.5Under won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: 1H O/U 19.5Under won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5Under won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 37.5Under won
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5Under won
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)Chiefs won
Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Chiefs won
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)Chiefs won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Broncos vs. Chiefs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event