TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,320,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,622,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,320,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,072 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Pacers33c437,168$142,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142,2497745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs66c152,500$100,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,243.5712147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs68c136,603$92,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,717.72,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs68c122,721$83,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,056.152,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pacers36c69,795$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers34c68,276$23,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,213.951,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pacers35c60,030$20,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,810.919048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Spurs66c52,800$34,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,213.877149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers11c45,107$4,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,794.971,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers34c45,023$15,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,157.322,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c40,864$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Spurs66c40,000$26,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers32c39,194$12,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,515.1445850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Pacers31c34,697$10,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,756.17941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers13c33,538$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.811,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs67c31,123$20,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,140.731,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs67c29,851$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,850.7534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs65c28,879$18,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,107.6554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers32c26,844$8,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,591.4636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Spurs67c25,000$16,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.9920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Spurs67c22,388$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,388.062580%20 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pacers35c20,714$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,249.9910930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers33c19,000$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c18,134$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.768820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Spurs54c16,259$8,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,516.6729037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Spurs75c16,051$12,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.035052%26 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers35c16,005$5,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,641.951,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Pacers31c16,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.918348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Spurs69c15,060$10,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.273262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pacers32c14,981$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.1626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs66c13,195$8,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pacers11c13,183$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1528241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Pacers35c13,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5503745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs66c12,583$8,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Spurs68c12,350$8,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.2825546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers4c12,218$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.061,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pacers30c12,000$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.9862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…eadbbacked Spurs70c11,745$8,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.281520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers31c11,734$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Spurs66c11,678$7,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.5910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Spurs66c11,092$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers33c10,693$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs68c10,466$7,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,311.3744648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Spurs69c10,049$6,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.267437.8%28 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Spurs68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spurs65c9,594$6,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.9572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs66c8,500$5,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9878445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c8,440$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.757211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Pacers31c8,367$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.6612646%58 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers35c8,293$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.5530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs77c7,760$5,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Spurs66c7,500$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5503759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Spurs70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.86850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers11c7,001$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5527731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Pacers32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…2113backed Pacers30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers33c6,903$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Spurs59c6,746$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.152733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Spurs66c6,490$4,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.4822542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs69c6,275$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.91,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Pacers32c6,262$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.3624048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Pacers32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Pacers47c6,250$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.4812143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Spurs68c6,147$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.8134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Spurs67c6,000$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9804850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers0c5,841$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs68c5,555$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Spurs66c5,510$3,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.521,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Pacers34c5,476$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.783455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs67c5,027$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.9416863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Pacers32c5,004$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.3528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Spurs68c5,001$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.3214945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Pacers31c5,001$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.3113148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Pacers34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pacers31c4,990$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.0330947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Pacers34c4,956$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.0410144.6%45 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pacers34c4,657$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.221,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers31c4,006$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.041,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Pacers31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Pacers42c4,000$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Pacers11c3,898$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.7734227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Pacers35c3,843$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.13246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x562f…c59abacked Spurs69c3,800$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901c…ef3cbacked Pacers32c3,800$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccb…e141backed Pacers3c3,733$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100180%0 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs68c3,655$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.7292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Pacers27c3,514$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.46038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Pacers33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15512843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs53c3,487$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.7222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d6…b8e3backed Spurs72c3,449$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.664050%20 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs68c3,401$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.3844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Spurs68c3,356$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.95657.1%32 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Spurs69c3,157$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.722449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2289…9f26backed Spurs66c3,125$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9379…a062backed Spurs67c3,117$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d32…4301backed Pacers33c3,105$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Pacers30c3,050$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.523844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.