TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,368 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc23d…82c8backed Spurs57c1,100$627 inWon+$47313464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c899.83$418 inLost-$417.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Pacers46c600$276 inLost-$27611049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Spurs53c257.59$136 inWon+$121.4313260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Pacers9c200$18 inLost-$188511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b13…3d47backed Pacers62c100$62 inLost-$621618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spurs55c91.33$50 inWon+$41.157444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Spurs63c88.81$56 inWon+$32.8174547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pacers37c83.76$31 inLost-$3136649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Spurs62c69.99$43 inWon+$26.617447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Spurs43c69.15$30 inWon+$39.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Spurs35c58$20 inWon+$37.749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Spurs35c58$20 inWon+$37.740750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers38c48.83$19 inLost-$18.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…595cbacked Spurs46c35.39$16 inWon+$19.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Pacers41c34.4$14 inLost-$14.116852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers36c34.38$12 inLost-$12.382,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Spurs64c34.38$22 inWon+$12.3814654.8%80 W · 66 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers36c28.16$10 inLost-$10.213,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Spurs59c25.4$15 inWon+$10.4193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.