NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd36df231b08b614291afbef01fd7b9b66f05251809464fd29442d6396a8a4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 42,299$21,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,171.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 27,868$13,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,934 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 50c | 8,396$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 3,409$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.59 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 52c | 3,200$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.88 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 51c | 3,078$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,993$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 51c | 1,495$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.32 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 54c | 1,097$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 900$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 50c | 728$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 603.96$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.82 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 545.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 357$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 250.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 54c | 230.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Over | 50c | 222.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 119.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 52c | 96.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 61.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 46c | 49.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 49c | 48.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 48.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 45.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 34.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 29.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. PacersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.