NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6569e2aff0677cf7362e00f487b988dd78ebd491eab11d1c7df5b21849f9d409

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Pacers
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6576…6cc5backed Pacers	53c	13,000$6,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,890	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Spurs	47c	13,000$6,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,890	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs	46c	11,537$5,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,238.57	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers	52c	8,087$4,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,175.78	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Spurs	48c	5,623$2,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,923.8	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Pacers	53c	5,556$2,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,944.68	67	67.2%45 W · 22 L	+10.7wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Spurs	47c	5,552$2,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,940.79	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Spurs	48c	4,237$2,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,213.32	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454f…04e7backed Pacers	52c	3,771$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.76	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pacers	55c	3,550$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.57	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers	53c	3,005$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Pacers	56c	2,321$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs	52c	2,303$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,106.99	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	47c	2,121$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.13	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Spurs	47c	2,090$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.54	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pacers	52c	1,903$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.56	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers	52c	1,730$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.6	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pacers	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pacers	53c	1,407$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Pacers	6c	1,317$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.02	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers	53c	1,305$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.65	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers	54c	1,219$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.34	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs	45c	1,101$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.91	220	35.5%78 W · 142 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pacers	54c	1,083$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	65c	1,065$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Spurs	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pacers	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Pacers	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Pacers	53c	957$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.21	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Pacers	53c	940.99$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.53	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers	56c	832$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.92	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Spurs	44c	772.73$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.73	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Pacers	55c	655.69$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pacers	54c	646$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.93	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Spurs	51c	619.61$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.61	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pacers	54c	550$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers	53c	543.07$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.83	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70d…ef69backed Pacers	52c	495.32$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.57	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Pacers	58c	448.57$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.17	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93d…f36dbacked Spurs	46c	440$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.6	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+6.3wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs	46c	434.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.85	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Spurs	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs	44c	403.48$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.2	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Pacers	52c	402.54$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.32	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Pacers	52c	345.42$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.62	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pacers	56c	341.07$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.36	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Pacers	52c	226.33$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.69	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Spurs	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	44c	216.86$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.44	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Pacers	55c	204.27$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.91	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1bde…ca3abacked Pacers	52c	192.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.22	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Pacers	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-5.0wins	-0.31per pick	50cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Pacers	53c	190$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.7	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Pacers	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs	51c	171.68$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.59	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs	42c	160$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.8	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Pacers	57c	159.65$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pacers	56c	158$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.48	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Pacers	57c	154.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Spurs	46c	127.39$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.79	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers	60c	124.5$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.7	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f60…f897backed Spurs	46c	121.74$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.74	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spurs	47c	114.47$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.9	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs	46c	106.2$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Spurs	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Spurs	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	226	33.2%75 W · 151 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5256…24a5backed Pacers	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Spurs	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Spurs	47c	85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.05	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Spurs	46c	84.53$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.41	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…cb14backed Pacers	55c	72.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Spurs	42c	72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Pacers	54c	71.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Spurs	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0a…7d46backed Pacers	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Spurs	43c	52$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.64	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Pacers	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed Spurs	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Pacers	54c	40.74$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Spurs	46c	40.74$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Spurs	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Spurs	46c	37.35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.17	222	47.3%105 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Pacers	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Pacers	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Pacers	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Pacers	54c	36.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Pacers	58c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Pacers	53c	33.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Pacers	53c	33.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Spurs	45c	30.74$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.95	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Spurs	44c	30.66$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.17	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde2d…abbabacked Spurs	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers	55c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers	49c	27.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Spurs	46c	25.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.52	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Pacers	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event