NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aaf76b8e0d410e81774f33952a62bd3096db5fb42acb43529474d517e2fb81f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 4,249$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.25 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 1,863$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Under | 60c | 910$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 612.68$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 485.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under | 60c | 403.47$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 40c | 359.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 289$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 60c | 260$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Under | 58c | 179.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 136.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 131.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Under | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 42c | 123.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 114.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 65c | 101.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 31c | 90.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 75.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…9a55backed Under | 53c | 75.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 49c | 55.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 45c | 52.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…241bbacked Under | 52c | 51.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 43.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 42c | 24.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…4141backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. PacersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.