NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7603643d3961ba5d644de8de9a756b044b49ec6792f38f01cf7554bbfbdd831a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pacers | 49c | 109,180$53,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,480.29 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Spurs | 48c | 62,212$30,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,182.5 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs | 51c | 56,000$28,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,443.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Spurs | 49c | 25,486$12,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,998.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Pacers | 53c | 23,585$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 51c | 19,043$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,340.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Pacers | 50c | 13,047$6,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 79c | 11,620$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers | 50c | 10,804$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Spurs | 51c | 9,043$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 51c | 8,134$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Spurs | 50c | 7,385$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 6,920$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 51c | 6,839$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Pacers | 52c | 6,254$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.99 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Pacers | 51c | 5,600$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Spurs | 50c | 5,317$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers | 51c | 5,283$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 53c | 4,179$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.64 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,164$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.36 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Spurs | 51c | 3,926$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 47c | 2,753$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.95 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Pacers | 49c | 2,212$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Pacers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,980$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pacers | 52c | 1,956$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.51 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Pacers | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,565$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.5 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 79c | 1,359$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers | 49c | 1,359$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.9 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Spurs | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Spurs | 51c | 1,257$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.97 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.95 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Pacers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pacers | 49c | 999.99$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Pacers | 49c | 949.94$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.47 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Spurs | 52c | 926.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Pacers | 47c | 916.36$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pacers | 33c | 845.56$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.06 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Spurs | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Pacers | 67c | 747.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Spurs | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 33c | 692.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Pacers | 52c | 669.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Pacers | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Spurs | 53c | 589.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.66 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Spurs | 52c | 580.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Spurs | 50c | 576$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 48c | 573.12$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Spurs | 51c | 504.45$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Pacers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Spurs | 51c | 492.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.16 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 52c | 408.47$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Spurs | 70c | 404.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers | 48c | 370.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Spurs | 50c | 346.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Spurs | 77c | 329.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pacers | 63c | 299$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Pacers | 51c | 293.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pacers | 48c | 283$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Spurs | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Spurs | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Spurs | 50c | 241.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 240.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Spurs | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Pacers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Pacers | 48c | 206.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Spurs | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Spurs | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Pacers | 51c | 189.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked Spurs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pacers | 21c | 183.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 50c | 181.13$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Spurs | 51c | 180.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Pacers | 49c | 180.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pacers | 39c | 171.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Pacers | 48c | 162.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Spurs | 51c | 154.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Spurs | 52c | 154.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Spurs | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Pacers | 51c | 146.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Spurs | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 48c | 118.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Spurs | 50c | 115.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pacers | 45c | 115.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. PacersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.