NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39b4902241db0a57b2c80a13a7adacd146b457f23dd5ae4f1bfdb9f94437ee0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Bills, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 56c | 95,493$53,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,686.11 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texans | 44c | 58,390$25,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,530.84 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 60c | 49,870$29,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,766.68 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 60c | 33,183$19,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,812.06 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texans | 42c | 32,183$13,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,794.19 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texans | 42c | 23,041$9,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,363.53 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Texans | 41c | 20,500$8,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,094.97 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Texans | 40c | 19,776$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.57 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Texans | 43c | 15,745$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.54 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 41c | 14,764$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,771.4 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 52c | 12,498$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.61 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…7b18backed Texans | 41c | 12,200$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…853cbacked Bills | 59c | 12,200$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bills | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 44c | 6,209$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.32 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Bills | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Bills | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Texans | 42c | 3,505$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.9 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Texans | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texans | 43c | 2,999$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.82 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texans | 41c | 2,729$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.32 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Bills | 58c | 2,530$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.46 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Bills | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…adf9backed Bills | 57c | 2,400$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texans | 43c | 2,165$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.48 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8217backed Bills | 57c | 2,116$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Bills | 57c | 2,020$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Texans | 41c | 2,010$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Texans | 42c | 1,945$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.94 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Texans | 40c | 1,812$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.2 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Texans | 42c | 1,793$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.78 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Texans | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texans | 43c | 1,596$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.98 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Bills | 39c | 1,361$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Texans | 44c | 1,360$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.36 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Bills | 57c | 1,279$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.03 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bills | 51c | 1,152$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.21 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 56c | 1,074$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bills | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Bills | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bills | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 41c | 996$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.61 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Texans | 45c | 912.22$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.72 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Bills | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…ed03backed Texans | 44c | 857$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Bills | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Texans | 44c | 795.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.96 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Bills | 19c | 780$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 52c | 690$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Texans | 40c | 599.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Texans | 40c | 591$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Bills | 43c | 517.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bills | 60c | 502.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Bills | 58c | 499.76$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2204…84cebacked Texans | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…87cdbacked Texans | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…542bbacked Texans | 44c | 453$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…34ddbacked Texans | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…07ecbacked Texans | 44c | 444$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…a2cdbacked Texans | 42c | 431$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…94c0backed Texans | 44c | 426$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…9448backed Texans | 44c | 426$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…80ffbacked Bills | 58c | 423$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…0d5abacked Bills | 58c | 413$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…a30ebacked Bills | 58c | 411$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…1819backed Bills | 58c | 368$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Bills | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…3984backed Bills | 58c | 351$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…ed13backed Texans | 44c | 339$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 72c | 330$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…d5a3backed Bills | 55c | 286.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…1447backed Bills | 58c | 282$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…834abacked Bills | 58c | 272$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…aad6backed Bills | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Bills | 57c | 261.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…5b5dbacked Texans | 44c | 259$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Texans | 43c | 254.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texans | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…201fbacked Bills | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Bills | 25c | 247.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…8ed4backed Bills | 58c | 247$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…a759backed Bills | 60c | 245$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…afedbacked Bills | 58c | 244$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…8e16backed Bills | 58c | 243$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…e31ebacked Texans | 44c | 241$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…35a4backed Texans | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…fa79backed Texans | 44c | 238$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…aa0ebacked Bills | 58c | 236$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…19bbbacked Texans | 44c | 235$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…d2c2backed Texans | 44c | 234$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Texans | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…af5ebacked Texans | 44c | 231$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…e11dbacked Texans | 44c | 226$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…2771backed Bills | 58c | 225$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f9…adc0backed Bills | 58c | 221$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf318…317fbacked Texans | 44c | 221$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…cd6fbacked Texans | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Bills | 58c | 217.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…e907backed Bills | 58c | 212$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. TexansTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.