NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8fc958fc233a14a0a9622a64401f8c1c21d44cfd9798258b352f85ad02c98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 113,052$55,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,260.07 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 94,768$48,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,888.74 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 46,337$22,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,240.38 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 51c | 40,815$20,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.96 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 51c | 19,000$9,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,310 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 17,149$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.97 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 15,600$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 14,216$6,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,823.8 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Under | 51c | 6,418$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 52c | 5,363$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.18 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 49c | 2,755$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.11 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Over | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Under | 52c | 2,349$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 49c | 2,083$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 942.57$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.51 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Under | 52c | 853.45$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 52c | 682.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 614$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 496.23$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…be11backed Over | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…5cb4backed Under | 52c | 397$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Under | 77c | 381$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 51c | 347.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 54c | 311$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…1bd6backed Over | 50c | 271$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…42babacked Over | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…917ebacked Under | 52c | 257$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…35a4backed Over | 47c | 253$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…855dbacked Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…ba47backed Over | 50c | 239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…e31ebacked Over | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d6…e477backed Over | 50c | 233$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…2c7bbacked Under | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…595cbacked Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1006…d954backed Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…201fbacked Under | 52c | 213$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…5a95backed Over | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…2c68backed Under | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…aacebacked Under | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…0092backed Under | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…c37abacked Over | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…9edfbacked Under | 55c | 206$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…ceb1backed Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…8b88backed Over | 47c | 196$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…b721backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…548fbacked Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…6811backed Over | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…8630backed Under | 52c | 187$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Under | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 59c | 178.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…1798backed Under | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…4a18backed Under | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…c35bbacked Under | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…8a80backed Over | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…34e7backed Over | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…4df7backed Under | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…804abacked Over | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…677abacked Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…91d9backed Over | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…5914backed Under | 52c | 161$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7c…6f99backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…fee1backed Under | 52c | 156$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…e96ebacked Under | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…2fb1backed Under | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…5b5dbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…d4e7backed Under | 55c | 149$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…f69abacked Under | 55c | 148$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 51c | 144.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e3aebacked Over | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…cd91backed Over | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 138.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…9192backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. TexansTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.