NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8932b39ea4b0c9e43e4bb957d246276a5e0ea38655daef364f22e42157bbdfd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Bills, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texans | 50c | 69,279$34,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,443.58 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bills | 49c | 65,374$32,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,151.54 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Texans | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Bills | 49c | 30,500$14,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,945 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bills | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bills | 49c | 16,723$8,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,194.24 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Bills | 49c | 11,245$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Texans | 52c | 10,094$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.27 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Texans | 50c | 9,251$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.31 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Texans | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bills | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Bills | 53c | 5,300$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bills | 48c | 3,199$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.3 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans | 52c | 3,111$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.28 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texans | 50c | 3,049$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.29 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Texans | 52c | 2,370$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.52 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Bills | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Texans | 52c | 2,048$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Bills | 49c | 2,020$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bills | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Bills | 50c | 1,802$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Bills | 50c | 1,701$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685a…0260backed Texans | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Bills | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…d255backed Bills | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Texans | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.11 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Bills | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bills | 52c | 1,127$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Texans | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Texans | 54c | 1,027$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bills | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2054…533ebacked Bills | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Texans | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Texans | 52c | 962.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.89 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Bills | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 48c | 876.54$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bills | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bills | 52c | 749.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Bills | 50c | 742$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texans | 51c | 735.67$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.84 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texans | 47c | 645.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.33 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Bills | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Texans | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bills | 50c | 546.57$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Bills | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bills | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Bills | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bills | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Texans | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Texans | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Bills | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Bills | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…2c5fbacked Texans | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Texans | 51c | 286$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Bills | 53c | 284.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…6abdbacked Texans | 48c | 283$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…a1d5backed Texans | 48c | 272$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…c659backed Bills | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1447…3971backed Texans | 49c | 247$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…83e5backed Texans | 49c | 231$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texans | 52c | 211.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a3c3backed Bills | 53c | 209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa215…088abacked Bills | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 52c | 204$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bills | 53c | 201.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Texans | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bills | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Texans | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…80ffbacked Bills | 53c | 192$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…e5a1backed Texans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8a…d37ebacked Bills | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Bills | 49c | 183.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…01e4backed Bills | 52c | 182$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…2ca0backed Texans | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…42c7backed Texans | 48c | 172$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…adecbacked Texans | 48c | 172$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texans | 50c | 170.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…64eebacked Bills | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Bills | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…2fd0backed Bills | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…705bbacked Bills | 53c | 141$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Bills | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…afedbacked Bills | 53c | 139$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…081bbacked Bills | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…bbdebacked Bills | 52c | 129$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…0f56backed Bills | 53c | 118$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bills | 48c | 110.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…09e3backed Bills | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…49c6backed Bills | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Texans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…8d88backed Bills | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Bills | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Bills | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Texans | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Texans | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 56c | 97.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Texans | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Bills vs. TexansTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 43.5Under won
- Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Texans won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.