TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e0d…081b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70.43
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$120.42
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$173.1
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$255.53
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+91.8%+$163.86
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.78
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250.27
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+360.7%+$101
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$392.76
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.7
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$331.59
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$185.78
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+65.6%+$34.45
Bears vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+306.1%+$230.78
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+93.8%+$56.29
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$206.16
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 25 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$273.5
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$52.56
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$154.14
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$482.77
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.89
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$139.74
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.8
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+147%+$23.52
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.95
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$80.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.8%+$19.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.