TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Michigan State Spartans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nebraska Cornhuskersof Michigan State Spartans, Nebraska Cornhuskers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x014c…f5b6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers49c7,208$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.533652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Michigan State Spartans72c4,993$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.297839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Michigan State Spartans49c4,343$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.382864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nebraska Cornhuskers50c3,278$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.9355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Michigan State Spartans36c2,991$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.741,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers57c2,849$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Nebraska Cornhuskers55c2,430$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Michigan State Spartans50c2,086$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.571,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans44c2,000$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.995556.4%31 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nebraska Cornhuskers61c1,865$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.933,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans45c1,693$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.582,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michigan State Spartans36c1,206$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.371,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Michigan State Spartans41c1,089$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9212354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers52c1,083$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.921,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Michigan State Spartans74c1,022$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.2713851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans43c1,006$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers45c751.1$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Michigan State Spartans44c694.79$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.711,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers68c656.56$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.691,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Michigan State Spartans5c557.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8713313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers69c454.56$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Michigan State Spartans58c441$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.782035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michigan State Spartans45c436.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.615,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nebraska Cornhuskers70c427.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.542,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers47c421.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.133964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Michigan State Spartans4c415.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.311608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1768138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec7…329bbacked Michigan State Spartans42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Nebraska Cornhuskers72c382.12$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.073551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Michigan State Spartans46c369.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Michigan State Spartans51c334.96$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8312435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Michigan State Spartans44c305.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Michigan State Spartans5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan State Spartans46c286.6$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.664,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0d…081bbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers57c283.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Michigan State Spartans43c263$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Michigan State Spartans43c260.46$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11252928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83f…6fdebacked Michigan State Spartans44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Michigan State Spartans43c221.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Nebraska Cornhuskers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9218646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nebraska Cornhuskers56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Michigan State Spartans35c176.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Nebraska Cornhuskers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Nebraska Cornhuskers57c175.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed Nebraska Cornhuskers79c168.09$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Michigan State Spartans34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.819050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Michigan State Spartans34c115.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Nebraska Cornhuskers53c114.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Michigan State Spartans66c104.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Nebraska Cornhuskers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Michigan State Spartans47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Michigan State Spartans43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers41c97.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.931747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Michigan State Spartans44c91.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Michigan State Spartans34c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers57c82.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.781,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans36c73.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.454,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c71.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7117647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Nebraska Cornhuskers74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbcc…91d3backed Nebraska Cornhuskers59c60.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Michigan State Spartans20c56.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1848051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c89…2a50backed Nebraska Cornhuskers54c55.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nebraska Cornhuskers76c52.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8413956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans42c48.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.373,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Michigan State Spartans33c44.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5219454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Michigan State Spartans45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Michigan State Spartans46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15a…4e72backed Michigan State Spartans49c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nebraska Cornhuskers55c39.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Michigan State Spartans44c37.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5821535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Michigan State Spartans57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers44c31.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8220051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Michigan State Spartans49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers54c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.813147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nebraska Cornhuskers55c29.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nebraska Cornhuskers48c28.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…7303backed Nebraska Cornhuskers42c25.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Nebraska Cornhuskers55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4517544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Nebraska Cornhuskers51c20.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.011,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Michigan State Spartans52c19.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.112740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.