TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbcc…91d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$403.71
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$278.85
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+119.6%+$132.08
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$84.19
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+109.1%+$48.4
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.58
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.75
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$98.9
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+308.3%+$601.31
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$93.45
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$90.01
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$96.71
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.7%+$442.5
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$110
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$31.11
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.37
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+316.7%+$56.75
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.39
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$71.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+150%+$82.43
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.75
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.38
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.38
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$72.51
Kennesaw State vs. Libertybacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.39
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.35
Georgia vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLAbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.8%+$23.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$28.91
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$26.96
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.06
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48.76
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.1
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+317.3%+$85.02
All 6 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$38.68
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$29.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$56.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Olivia Gadeckibacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.