College Football · resolved market
Missouri vs. Arkansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe035aefa892cd52dbca7b82cef638232ff5123d540924808fe7f617c585f868e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouriof Missouri, Arkansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri | 65c | 38,492$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,492.03 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas | 33c | 34,714$11,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,414.81 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Missouri | 68c | 17,111$11,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.54 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Arkansas | 31c | 12,231$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.3 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas | 33c | 11,724$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.39 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri | 68c | 11,677$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.12 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Arkansas | 35c | 11,653$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.69 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas | 35c | 7,398$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.75 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Missouri | 68c | 6,325$4,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.55 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arkansas | 37c | 5,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Missouri | 64c | 4,238$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.24 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Arkansas | 35c | 4,088$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.22 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri | 63c | 4,059$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.8 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Missouri | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri | 68c | 3,024$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Arkansas | 52c | 2,320$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Arkansas | 39c | 2,057$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Missouri | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas | 39c | 1,800$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.04 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas | 35c | 1,717$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.02 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arkansas | 34c | 1,700$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri | 63c | 1,590$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arkansas | 35c | 1,322$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.89 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arkansas | 36c | 1,189$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.15 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Arkansas | 36c | 1,174$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Arkansas | 38c | 1,120$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Arkansas | 39c | 1,050$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Missouri | 62c | 972.57$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri | 54c | 920$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.28 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas | 34c | 906.78$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.54 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Arkansas | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Missouri | 75c | 839$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…0ab5backed Missouri | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas | 39c | 763$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Missouri | 61c | 712$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Arkansas | 35c | 566.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri | 63c | 534.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Arkansas | 36c | 533.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Missouri | 64c | 508.71$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Missouri | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arkansas | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Arkansas | 35c | 495.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas | 35c | 486.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Missouri | 65c | 458.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Missouri | 63c | 346.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri | 63c | 337.95$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arkansas | 36c | 334.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.22 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Arkansas | 37c | 299.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Missouri | 59c | 296$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Missouri | 50c | 279.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arkansas | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Missouri | 66c | 228.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…c85ebacked Missouri | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…84adbacked Arkansas | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…bb7abacked Missouri | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Missouri | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…35e8backed Arkansas | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Arkansas | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Arkansas | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Arkansas | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas | 45c | 195$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Missouri | 54c | 194$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Arkansas | 52c | 193.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…3311backed Missouri | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas | 39c | 186.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…0ee1backed Missouri | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arkansas | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Missouri | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Missouri | 61c | 150.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked Missouri | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Arkansas | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Missouri | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas | 34c | 121.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…2548backed Missouri | 62c | 112.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Missouri | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Missouri | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Arkansas | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Arkansas | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Arkansas | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Missouri | 62c | 99.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +10.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Arkansas | 39c | 95.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Missouri | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Missouri | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Arkansas | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Arkansas | 29c | 76.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Arkansas | 39c | 73.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Missouri | 72c | 72.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Arkansas | 35c | 71.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Arkansas | 33c | 70.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Missouri | 64c | 63.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Missouri | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Arkansas | 32c | 62.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…de17backed Arkansas | 39c | 53.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Arkansas | 36c | 53.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…d6f1backed Missouri | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Missouri | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Missouri | 80c | 52.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Arkansas | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Arkansas | 28c | 51.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri vs. Arkansasthis page
- Missouri vs. Arkansas: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri (-2.5)Missouri won
- Spread: Missouri (-3.5)Missouri won
- Spread: Missouri (-4.5)Missouri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.