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NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Blue Jackets, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$628,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$678,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets56c70,090$39,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,250.6488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets33c69,004$22,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,859.11,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef1…3713backed Sharks44c68,471$30,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,343.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blue Jackets55c55,716$30,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,862.5641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Sharks44c55,690$24,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,186.5920354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Sharks48c43,083$20,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,203.913754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Sharks69c37,725$26,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,660.6811745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jackets55c31,265$17,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,195.5816656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Blue Jackets56c20,106$11,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,259.0911052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sharks45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.958952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blue Jackets51c19,290$9,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,838.0638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Blue Jackets56c18,500$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3605261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Sharks44c18,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0808657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blue Jackets32c15,289$4,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.7138738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Blue Jackets56c13,631$7,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,633.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sharks45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Blue Jackets55c9,898$5,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.1213449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks44c9,882$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,583.181,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Sharks45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8502360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.1823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sharks69c6,700$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.486958%40 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Blue Jackets43c6,352$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7195853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3a…3bebbacked Blue Jackets43c5,550$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Sharks45c5,452$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.65735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blue Jackets55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blue Jackets54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets53c4,879$2,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.961,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks56c4,573$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.261,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Blue Jackets55c4,552$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.531753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Sharks45c4,111$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.057659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets44c4,078$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.3895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Sharks69c3,900$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2095364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sharks44c3,735$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.8648549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked Sharks45c3,700$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets56c3,640$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blue Jackets10c3,566$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7329926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets56c3,340$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.311,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Sharks69c3,275$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.216456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Blue Jackets57c3,200$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks46c3,198$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.3860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Sharks44c2,999$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.6311749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Sharks48c2,882$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.0741757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sharks45c2,864$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.162249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e4…85b4backed Blue Jackets22c2,839$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets38c2,792$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.663,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Sharks44c2,719$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.6520552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets1c2,666$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.667450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks67c2,517$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.571,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Blue Jackets56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Sharks44c2,424$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.287162%44 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Blue Jackets55c2,400$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3204949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets46c2,349$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.092,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets45c2,242$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.7899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jackets2c2,234$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks71c2,221$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.7957157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets12c2,201$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.442,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Sharks45c2,184$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ec…4a35backed Sharks69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f31…3e23backed Blue Jackets31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Sharks44c1,950$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.9951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Sharks45c1,907$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.23542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sharks44c1,838$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2893953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Sharks44c1,778$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.8520951.7%108 W · 101 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Sharks54c1,752$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.842763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks49c1,712$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.971,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Blue Jackets27c1,685$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sharks45c1,667$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.679846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Sharks69c1,650$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.53154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks45c1,650$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…ea4abacked Blue Jackets32c1,645$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks44c1,570$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.852,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Blue Jackets3c1,520$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.176750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets55c1,505$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.371,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Blue Jackets55c1,482$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.129651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blue Jackets55c1,473$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.2672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Blue Jackets56c1,394$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.9241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Sharks47c1,393$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8318345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Sharks80c1,255$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.134778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98ea…645fbacked Blue Jackets1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Blue Jackets56c1,160$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64814945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Sharks46c1,146$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3516752.7%88 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Blue Jackets54c1,124$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.13855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Sharks46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks45c1,100$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Sharks45c1,092$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Sharks69c1,075$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blue Jackets54c1,018$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7633243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Sharks46c1,004$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.352462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c1…96d3backed Blue Jackets55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…6f35backed Blue Jackets30c972$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.27742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e17…f41ebacked Sharks44c965.91$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Blue Jackets32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.