TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Connecticut vs. Army

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Armyof Connecticut, Army
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$538,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Army71c82,182$58,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,514.758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Connecticut26c30,388$7,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,821.6793548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Connecticut29c28,493$8,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,130.3313933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Connecticut26c25,949$6,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,746.758236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Connecticut3c25,555$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6516234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Connecticut15c21,405$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.7464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Connecticut23c19,218$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.0562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Connecticut12c16,486$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Connecticut0c14,074$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Connecticut47c11,377$5,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Army72c10,551$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.3386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Connecticut32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2003030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Connecticut29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.982650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut24c9,024$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.2440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Connecticut49c8,096$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9410…609dbacked Connecticut0c7,279$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Connecticut3c7,239$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.281145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Connecticut15c7,233$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.23540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Army74c7,095$5,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.7552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Army72c6,748$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.1548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Army74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaae…4da8backed Connecticut33c5,969$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Army73c5,802$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.0311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Army74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Army71c4,537$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Connecticut26c4,497$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.3125629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Connecticut28c4,459$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.9119362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Army77c4,450$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.491060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Connecticut0c4,431$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.372370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Army72c4,404$3,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.298749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Connecticut16c4,394$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.4940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Connecticut36c4,193$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Army67c4,114$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.8123751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Army69c4,058$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.974042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Connecticut22c4,034$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.4468440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Army55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Army74c3,920$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.974151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Connecticut45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Army73c3,285$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Connecticut21c3,273$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Connecticut0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Connecticut23c2,862$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.34833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Connecticut27c2,819$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.9715751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Army72c2,723$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.72,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Army70c2,549$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.572630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Army77c2,546$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Army74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Connecticut27c2,500$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66519849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Army80c2,285$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Connecticut23c2,249$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.352630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Army73c2,004$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.9965945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Connecticut1c2,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Connecticut25c1,984$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4965147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Army77c1,968$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.921060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Connecticut18c1,956$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.748627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Army70c1,660$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.961040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Connecticut6c1,582$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ede…2de3backed Army69c1,581$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Army73c1,406$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.06757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Army73c1,406$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut27c1,385$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Connecticut18c1,356$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2a…37f4backed Connecticut21c1,344$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Connecticut29c1,341$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.138043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Connecticut28c1,328$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Army76c1,263$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2454243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Army78c1,186$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Army79c1,161$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Connecticut36c1,147$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Army58c1,067$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.617664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Connecticut27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Army72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Connecticut26c999.96$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6542244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Army72c972$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1619051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1e…f3afbacked Connecticut27c962.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Connecticut16c949.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.55127.5%14 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Connecticut27c815$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Connecticut32c790.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Connecticut26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Connecticut26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Connecticut29c760.65$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Army72c759.98$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Connecticut15c740.39$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.471030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Connecticut20c740$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1485742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Army71c700.35$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.262231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Connecticut9c693.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.939124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Connecticut35c634.74$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef2…61d1backed Connecticut24c628.84$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Connecticut8c589.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Connecticut27c586.05$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.233138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Army72c584.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Connecticut23c562.35$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.341735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Connecticut21c544.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Connecticut34c514.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Army59c509.31$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.582536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Army71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1457254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Connecticut26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Army72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14010346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Army79c494.04$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Connecticut31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.