College Football · resolved market
O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc9c775a19eeb6a811075812cd2bf2459b68b7bcf08c07047bbfa0651be6b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 65c | 11,623$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 38c | 8,329$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.99 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 5c | 1,991$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 1,777$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.82 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 575.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Under | 47c | 474.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 35c | 205.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 64c | 186.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 38c | 101.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 59c | 99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 36c | 75.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 36c | 50.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Under | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under | 46c | 32.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 44.5this page
- Connecticut vs. ArmyArmy won
- Connecticut vs. Army: 1H MoneylineArmy won
- Connecticut vs. Army: O/U 42.5Over won
- Connecticut vs. Army: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Army (-7.5)Army won
- Spread: Army (-8.5)Army won
- Spread: Army (-9.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.