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College Football · resolved market

Kennesaw State vs. Liberty

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x569e…4175backed Liberty44c48,290$21,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,183.32650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Kennesaw State56c44,832$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,832.2719362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Kennesaw State56c39,900$22,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,556.0232745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Liberty44c31,266$13,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,867.9493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liberty44c15,511$6,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,826.9258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Liberty43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kennesaw State54c4,643$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.7739954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Kennesaw State57c4,500$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9351770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b46…71c3backed Kennesaw State53c4,425$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e60…4c3fbacked Liberty47c4,418$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Liberty46c4,400$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02415751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Kennesaw State54c3,680$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…8e5abacked Liberty46c3,680$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Liberty19c3,533$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.1386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Liberty44c3,370$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.542,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Liberty46c2,778$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Kennesaw State54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Liberty46c2,770$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Kennesaw State54c2,770$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State57c2,744$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Liberty25c2,070$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.123751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Liberty44c2,010$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.3425629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Liberty48c1,800$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.6134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Liberty47c1,724$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Liberty39c1,369$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5455350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Liberty46c1,200$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liberty46c1,125$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Kennesaw State69c1,055$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.31966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Liberty34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liberty45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4459444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Liberty46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty50c968.08$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.6940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty46c926.73$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Liberty45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kennesaw State58c753.15$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Kennesaw State54c735.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.872568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Liberty17c592.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.786023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Liberty46c524.15$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1149443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Kennesaw State38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31026750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Liberty35c428.78$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Kennesaw State73c412.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Liberty46c335.08$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.147040%28 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff6…d78bbacked Kennesaw State77c330.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.581090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kennesaw State59c311.73$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4320553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Kennesaw State66c304.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.921656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Liberty45c280.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0928440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Kennesaw State43c262.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.211323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kennesaw State55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Liberty67c227.61$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Liberty46c221.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2322030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Liberty46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Liberty46c216.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kennesaw State54c201$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.311,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed Kennesaw State60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Liberty46c198.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kennesaw State51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0839847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b8…1df6backed Kennesaw State54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kennesaw State57c179$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7363243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc9e…19ddbacked Kennesaw State57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Kennesaw State57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Liberty46c149.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.428032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Liberty27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405414.8%8 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Liberty47c128$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Kennesaw State58c127.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.595750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022d…41a2backed Liberty13c115.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Liberty46c115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Kennesaw State51c112.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.839142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Liberty47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.756844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Kennesaw State54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.764247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Liberty43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Liberty46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Liberty70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Kennesaw State52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4812755.9%71 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Kennesaw State57c99.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8926846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Liberty27c98.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Liberty47c97.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Liberty46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Liberty45c92.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5317443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Liberty68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Kennesaw State78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.924872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4217…8bf7backed Kennesaw State74c75.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…82b4backed Kennesaw State54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kennesaw State57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.212433.1%41 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Kennesaw State58c66.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liberty53c65.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty22c61.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7919842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Kennesaw State54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373f…75efbacked Kennesaw State54c55.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e30…47dabacked Liberty45c55.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…787bbacked Kennesaw State56c54.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Kennesaw State55c54.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.733354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2075…0d29backed Liberty47c54.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…b549backed Liberty46c53.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc08e…9b5cbacked Liberty47c52.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…26f6backed Liberty47c51.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c2…2cffbacked Kennesaw State55c51.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+126%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Kennesaw State35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Kennesaw State76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd18b…300cbacked Kennesaw State54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Kennesaw State54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.