Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac523451f452cb457566eb1b638ef483a1f0718988c2584872cc2fcbf67454b

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $424,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $423,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,620 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	14c	117,243$15,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,943	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	14c	21,020$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.82	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e82…6b84backed Yes	13c	10,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+82%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.99	85	31.8%27 W · 58 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes	14c	9,983$1,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.41	91	11%10 W · 81 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes	13c	5,923$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	14c	5,676$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.46	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes	12c	5,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	13c	4,050$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.5	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c5…7e8bbacked Yes	14c	3,923$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes	13c	3,620$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.32	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa8…debfbacked Yes	14c	3,572$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	13c	3,165$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.31	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes	3c	3,064$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.74	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed Yes	13c	2,769$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.97	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes	14c	2,500$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes	12c	1,991$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.21	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes	12c	1,364$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.68	101	59.4%60 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes	14c	1,195$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.26	274	54%148 W · 126 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes	13c	1,143$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.54	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dea…1f52backed Yes	13c	1,128$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.66	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…f7cdbacked Yes	3c	1,007$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-73%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+9.5wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf8f…1ee2backed Yes	12c	999.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	999.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes	12c	999.94$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes	14c	999.89$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.98	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes	13c	895$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.35	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes	13c	876.92$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…28a5backed Yes	12c	813.84$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	13c	811.46$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.49	200	27%54 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x954f…025dbacked Yes	12c	809.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.2	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes	5c	799.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	9cpaid	+252.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	14c	736.3$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.62	262	29.8%78 W · 184 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	15c	690$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	248	44.4%110 W · 138 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…5a2ebacked Yes	15c	628$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+83%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe04f…6574backed Yes	9c	617.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	8c	609.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes	7c	606.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aca…f4c3backed Yes	15c	602.27$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.61	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Yes	13c	601.62$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.21	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.38per pick	50cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	13c	599.07$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.37	116	28.4%33 W · 83 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0594…6d4dbacked Yes	18c	593.17$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.77	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a07…6764backed Yes	13c	592.31$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes	12c	558.33$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	14c	542.86$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0e…4419backed Yes	15c	533.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	14c	499.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.06	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes	13c	489.01$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes	13c	461.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes	14c	448.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+7.1wins	+0.13per pick	33cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9096…17dcbacked Yes	14c	423.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eff…9b9fbacked Yes	13c	395$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	32cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	4c	360$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes	15c	360$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	235	31.1%73 W · 162 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4d…fe16backed Yes	14c	359.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Yes	13c	357.2$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8f…d6bbbacked Yes	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d0…03c1backed Yes	14c	350$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes	15c	337.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes	15c	334.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68e…663cbacked Yes	17c	320.1$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ab…87ffbacked Yes	12c	315.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes	16c	314.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02d…2935backed Yes	14c	300.52$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes	13c	291.78$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes	13c	280$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes	13c	269.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…9828backed Yes	13c	262.85$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…2289backed Yes	13c	258$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes	15c	254.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+53%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	10c	243.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Yes	14c	236.03$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2ed7backed Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9821…f62ebacked Yes	11c	230.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	12c	222$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Yes	16c	213.73$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	13c	207.69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?this page
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?Yes won
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event