Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abd0802165c8ef1d3b911e1dbe8e3fe8be8f244ca08c80d9ace2ec4c985aa99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 20c | 117,732$23,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,726.39 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 80c | 50,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 25,450$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 12,057$9,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,277.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 9,399$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 4c | 8,577$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +329.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 24c | 5,606$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.73 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 29c | 5,109$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.79 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 4,306$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.86 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 3,629$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6b84backed Yes | 18c | 3,127$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,950$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.93 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 73c | 2,185$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 2,156$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes | 72c | 2,086$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 1,936$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.61 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 19c | 1,842$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.11 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 1,498$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 27c | 1,125$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,120$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.54 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 31c | 1,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 24c | 980.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.11 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 969.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 866.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.63 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 20c | 825$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 28c | 761.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 611.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.86 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…500abacked Yes | 79c | 580.42$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 19c | 570.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked No | 26c | 555.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 19c | 551.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.69 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes | 31c | 519.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed No | 19c | 496.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked Yes | 29c | 487.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 74c | 432.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 77c | 428.55$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 59c | 420.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed No | 37c | 405.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Yes | 80c | 395.04$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 377.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed No | 35c | 376.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 45c | 353.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Yes | 20c | 330$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 73c | 308.34$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 74c | 273.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9096…17dcbacked Yes | 30c | 270$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…4abbbacked Yes | 20c | 250.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes | 11c | 228.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 222$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes | 18c | 199.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…c3c9backed Yes | 77c | 198.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…d6bbbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…52eebacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 77c | 168.46$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…3342backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…f9b9backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…b6aebacked Yes | 20c | 138.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 33c | 137.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 30c | 133.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…f62ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 20c | 130.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…7a34backed Yes | 56c | 130.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 18c | 113.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 48c | 112.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed No | 77c | 111.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…f79ebacked Yes | 19c | 111.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 21c | 106.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 71c | 105.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.