TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x211e…35dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$126.85
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.67
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lubacked Jiajing Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+135%+$1,424.31
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.55
Ostrava Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Maiko Uchijimabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.79
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+60.8%+$1,440.32
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$439.54
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$459.99
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.5%+$272.71
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$254.2
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$341.13
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+74.2%+$852.15
Munar vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.2%+$65.09
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+84.9%+$148.62
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Australian Open Women's: Dayana Yastremska vs Gabriela Rusebacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$94.6
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Dino Prizmicbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,008Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25.3%+$762.1
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$46.65
Fritz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.1
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.9
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$368.02
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+295.5%+$79.79
Will Jeremy Allen White be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.7%+$867.74
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$117.3
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$117
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.3%+$176.65
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$93.95
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will "Jingle Bell Heist" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,330.87
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.8
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Will "Kevin Hart: Acting My Age" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 2, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+113.6%+$117
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $75m and $80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+198.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+227.5%+$234.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+91.3%+$143.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$1,250.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$384.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NFL Kickoff Parlay: Taylor Swift Special backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.6%+$154.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,042Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$2,270.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru or Hans win 3rd place in SCC 2024?backed Hans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.