Us Politics · resolved market
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8fd791793aaca56a0e8755db6b86094fe90242dc533f1137d5ba69e7a1fa99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $856,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc284…55dbbacked Yes | 18c | 247,980$44,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,389.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 69c | 135,839$93,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,887.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 77c | 80,582$62,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,174.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 77c | 37,585$28,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,758.67 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…7771backed Yes | 22c | 36,749$8,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,566.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 22c | 35,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,299.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…97d6backed Yes | 24c | 34,984$8,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,562.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 40c | 31,972$12,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,212.81 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 52c | 18,266$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.46 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…1f25backed Yes | 21c | 17,582$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,817.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…e63bbacked Yes | 36c | 14,271$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,077.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 73c | 13,019$9,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 39c | 11,905$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,240.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 42c | 11,872$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.41 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…dd17backed Yes | 23c | 11,506$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 11,304$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,912.26 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 34c | 11,243$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 78c | 11,000$8,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,539.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 45c | 10,422$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.54 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 63c | 10,068$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 33c | 8,835$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…7a5fbacked Yes | 35c | 8,814$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…fd11backed Yes | 21c | 8,341$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +365.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 37c | 7,769$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.77 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 79c | 7,500$5,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…83e3backed No | 48c | 5,906$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 9c | 5,833$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.29 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 5,800$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 67c | 5,516$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 71c | 5,489$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.2 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…06d5backed No | 62c | 4,839$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 54c | 4,671$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 4,561$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.11 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…f200backed No | 79c | 4,476$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 16c | 4,275$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 64c | 4,275$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.92 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2497backed No | 57c | 4,200$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 79c | 4,041$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.34 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 6c | 3,998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,906$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.88 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…e34cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,757$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 54c | 3,736$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 35c | 3,734$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.01 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 3c | 3,417$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 73c | 3,250$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.48 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked No | 46c | 3,030$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 37c | 2,856$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.12 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…9687backed Yes | 42c | 2,848$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 80c | 2,800$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 42c | 2,800$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…fd15backed No | 68c | 2,400$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 54c | 2,300$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 67c | 2,290$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.79 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 2c | 2,280$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…1b63backed No | 71c | 2,111$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,973$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.81 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 74c | 1,904$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 65c | 1,847$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.35 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a4…3956backed Yes | 30c | 1,839$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 79c | 1,801$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 18c | 1,678$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 21c | 1,603$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.36 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 23c | 1,600$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 80c | 1,600$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.99 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 33c | 1,548$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…edf5backed No | 77c | 1,546$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 73c | 1,468$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…dd27backed No | 76c | 1,467$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 28c | 1,465$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.3 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 71c | 1,431$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 79c | 1,400$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f8dabacked No | 79c | 1,349$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…f7bdbacked No | 59c | 1,340$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 48c | 1,244$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.36 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed No | 78c | 1,216$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 66c | 1,197$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 72c | 1,197$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 1,166$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,164$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 70c | 1,128$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 74c | 1,114$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.31 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed No | 64c | 1,091$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…447cbacked No | 67c | 1,090$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,087$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 57c | 1,045$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,038$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.03 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…5a0ebacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…84b1backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…84e6backed Yes | 24c | 999.89$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 57c | 984.55$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8481…d87abacked Yes | 79c | 980.39$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 50c | 962.1$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.97 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked No | 59c | 903.28$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?this page
- Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?No won
- Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?Yes won
- Will Eric Adams drop out by September 15?No won
- Will Eric Adams drop out by September 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.