TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,259 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over32c232,589$74,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,428.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under68c200,146$136,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,046.766844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c11,020$6,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5411,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe3…5470backed Under71c7,564$5,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Under69c6,989$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.551675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under51c6,060$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.872650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under68c4,810$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.1626047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c4,619$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.481,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under70c3,574$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.331586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under69c2,859$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.2929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d31…0286backed Under49c2,128$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Under51c1,936$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under76c1,799$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over51c1,606$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over66c1,520$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.682850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over43c1,372$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under69c1,300$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.982373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over44c1,266$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.054647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over32c1,112$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.871040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6e…cfe9backed Over72c1,110$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under69c972$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under57c944.31$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003713.5%5 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over26c882$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.097625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over31c849.25$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.482825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over6c820.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked Under66c790.99$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over78c770.16$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Over31c765.68$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c734.96$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9442438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…316abacked Under69c724.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under58c719.64$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.94568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over49c700$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Under72c694.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Under69c652.08$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under52c645.3$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Under77c610$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.39046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Over61c535.71$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.397247.2%34 W · 38 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over61c504.92$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c504$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.26844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x963a…f044backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked Under57c489.15$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed Under28c449.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c0…1158backed Over70c431.57$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under50c420$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.33922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under78c419.81$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.413050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Over59c419.75$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.811650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over29c413.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2324047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12413349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under8c400$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…49d8backed Under70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…7677backed Under79c377.2$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under69c376.81$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.813158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Under69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Under70c352.67$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under65c344.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.495637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x45e6…d6cabacked Under70c339.9$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.971656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.983246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under60c335.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.369728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over31c329.32$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.09475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under69c319$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6613245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over20c310$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c308.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1760136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905052%26 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under55c288$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.474845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over51c287.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.714165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over31c283.15$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0912935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Under69c273.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.871258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Over43c273.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under68c269.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c72…01d7backed Under77c259.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…f67abacked Under70c258.81$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Under77c258.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over32c257.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.325339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over32c255$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.62025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under38c248.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1615038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Under75c245.13$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under68c243.1$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7913453%71 W · 63 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over30c242.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Under71c240.87$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.871478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c239.56$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0510648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Over47c232.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under69c220.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.564252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.225659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under38c220$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.44139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over42c217.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.67861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.