TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,763 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under29c35,388$10,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,137.413245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c11,068$7,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.281,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over71c5,962$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.7959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over70c5,915$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.3826047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under29c5,389$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.0529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under28c3,683$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.242035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c3,451$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.991,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under28c3,350$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9381050%5 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+65.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c2,957$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6520655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over65c2,044$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.2734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over71c1,945$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.482825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed Over59c1,706$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Under31c1,038$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4302128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.383450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under31c890$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over62c804.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over69c798.16$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.163246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over63c789.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.442853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under19c715.79$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365731.6%18 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over71c678.83$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8629746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over73c547.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.187068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c499.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9950247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c490.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.440350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over59c458.93$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.84647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over70c428.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5524047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under29c420.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12213234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under32c414.8$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.30per pick28cpaid+81.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over71c399.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11613349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over62c370.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.975364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over72c362.79$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over63c309.52$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.523636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under33c309.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.93030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8722647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c285.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7515038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under41c275.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over73c275$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.255358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over73c273.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.912935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under28c229.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over61c229.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.516657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over72c220$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.64766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.482470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba61…1bd8backed Over63c202.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under34c199.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f9…f701backed Under26c190.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c184.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2110256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over69c179.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.823947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under33c179.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under28c175.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502119%4 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Under41c168.29$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.676262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Under25c162.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7714…b1c8backed Under30c156.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-76.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under28c152.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.587625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Under37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…e132backed Over74c149.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9912269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1849…8916backed Over73c135.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under28c134.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…464fbacked Under64c124.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under26c121.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.478038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over72c112.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.739948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Under32c107.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Over72c106.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.941764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Under30c106.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.679556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c104$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1665050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Under42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over73c99.32$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.821050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over58c95.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.059144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under27c90.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.925459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.949748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over73c85.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.043941%16 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x069c…a2f1backed Over63c80.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372875%21 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over63c73.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Over70c71.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over70c70.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0717053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed Over63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Under29c65.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+54%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.