TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liverpool FCof Galatasaray SK, Liverpool FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,047 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe946…4cc4backed Galatasaray SK4c14,242$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Galatasaray SK4c6,667$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Galatasaray SK3c3,399$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.079757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Galatasaray SK3c3,196$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.837625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Galatasaray SK4c1,976$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Galatasaray SK4c1,272$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9711…c35ebacked Galatasaray SK3c1,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.191414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Galatasaray SK4c1,109$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.913245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Galatasaray SK4c1,010$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.232030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Galatasaray SK3c883$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.613935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Galatasaray SK3c803.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Galatasaray SK4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87eb…582fbacked Galatasaray SK4c278.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-83.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.