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Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liverpool FCof Liverpool FC, Galatasaray SK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,410 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Galatasaray SK63c60,182$37,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,914.622937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Liverpool FC37c37,002$13,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,311.064351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed Liverpool FC37c30,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,899.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC39c23,726$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,501.862,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Galatasaray SK62c7,505$4,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,658.631,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Galatasaray SK56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.993857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Galatasaray SK63c3,289$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.069757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Galatasaray SK64c3,275$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Liverpool FC38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.373225%8 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Galatasaray SK63c2,530$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59713349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Galatasaray SK62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Galatasaray SK64c2,250$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Galatasaray SK63c1,959$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.8718250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Liverpool FC37c1,705$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Galatasaray SK63c1,682$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Liverpool FC42c1,657$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.133033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Galatasaray SK64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3221037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Galatasaray SK64c1,539$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Galatasaray SK70c1,419$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.575630.4%17 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Galatasaray SK67c1,121$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e12…b916backed Liverpool FC37c1,006$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Galatasaray SK64c986$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1113245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Galatasaray SK64c935.7$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.852245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galatasaray SK63c904.14$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.6126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Galatasaray SK63c872.35$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.583839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Galatasaray SK63c839.29$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.992825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Galatasaray SK63c740.85$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2461148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2682…b08bbacked Galatasaray SK63c658.86$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Galatasaray SK65c518.66$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.132650%13 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Liverpool FC47c515.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.221020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Galatasaray SK66c511.21$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Galatasaray SK62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Galatasaray SK64c500$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.540450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Liverpool FC36c499.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9820644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdc…a29fbacked Liverpool FC42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.19580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+128.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Galatasaray SK64c469.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2352646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Liverpool FC37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.415928.8%17 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Galatasaray SK63c399.97$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.984746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Liverpool FC50c316.63$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1943537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Galatasaray SK64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Galatasaray SK64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003540%14 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Galatasaray SK64c312.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7112935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Galatasaray SK12c305.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Galatasaray SK67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Liverpool FC34c289.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.957625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…9fd1backed Liverpool FC38c288.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Liverpool FC37c283.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Liverpool FC38c277.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+134.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Liverpool FC37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool FC38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1626743.8%117 W · 150 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Liverpool FC40c250.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.256246.8%29 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6578…e457backed Galatasaray SK67c245.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Galatasaray SK65c237$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9629350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Galatasaray SK64c226.56$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Galatasaray SK46c216.83$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.523637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Galatasaray SK64c214.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.261526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Liverpool FC41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.96147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Liverpool FC36c200.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3338748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Galatasaray SK64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12825859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc9…e2aabacked Liverpool FC38c199.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Galatasaray SK60c190.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Liverpool FC37c178.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6415038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed Liverpool FC37c177.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Galatasaray SK63c176.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liverpool FC35c169.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5467649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Liverpool FC36c166.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1929746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Galatasaray SK65c162.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Galatasaray SK63c158.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Galatasaray SK63c158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.544141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Galatasaray SK64c157.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Galatasaray SK64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb58d…fadfbacked Galatasaray SK64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Galatasaray SK66c155$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Liverpool FC38c153.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Galatasaray SK64c152.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.732665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed6d…d729backed Galatasaray SK60c149.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Galatasaray SK63c135.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6315847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galatasaray SK42c134.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8222356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Liverpool FC38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.585328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Liverpool FC37c124.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.139948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Liverpool FC43c117.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.031346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Galatasaray SK64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Galatasaray SK60c114.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.921921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Galatasaray SK63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Liverpool FC77c111$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.299348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Liverpool FC37c110.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Liverpool FC46c109.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42020%4 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Liverpool FC37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+70.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Galatasaray SK64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Galatasaray SK66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Galatasaray SK63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Galatasaray SK64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Liverpool FC37c96.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.556940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed Galatasaray SK68c88.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Galatasaray SK64c87.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.699748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Galatasaray SK57c84.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.016350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e9…1010backed Galatasaray SK64c81.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fc0fbacked Liverpool FC37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb860…eda4backed Galatasaray SK64c80.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Galatasaray SK64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.