TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6a6…204d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$683.29
Will Benin vs. Liberia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
England vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$45.62
South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$343.47
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$875.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$988.78
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$184.66
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
Will Georgia vs. Israel end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$232
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$394.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$228.61
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$619.42
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$872.31
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$651
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$948.86
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,624
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$499.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$337.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$704.76
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$940.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,098
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+201.4%+$753.11
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$553.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$200.59
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$205.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$261.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$281.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35%+$87.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.