Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin vs. Liberia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33943ea2d967ba932c3b6dd008ccff9f173dd4f2e4a933a60db5ce2b79cd1f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 3,293$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.73 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 44c | 1,705$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.34 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 63c | 1,309$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.17 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 891.58$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.63 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 52c | 630.83$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 43c | 611.63$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 472.72$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 35c | 438.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed No | 23c | 435.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 57c | 429.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 321.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 275.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 63c | 238.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 192.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 67c | 135.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 130.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 105.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 73c | 102.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes | 64c | 97.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 27c | 87.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 85.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 69.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 27c | 65.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 57c | 63.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed No | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…bf8bbacked Yes | 73c | 36.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…1826backed Yes | 55c | 31.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed No | 63c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…0ae8backed Yes | 69c | 28.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Yes | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…23cabacked No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin vs. Liberia end in a draw?this page
- Will Benin win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
- Will Liberia win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.