Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf63299a0ba5c6d40fda6bb1331289831050542db22163990c9208fa226bc80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 2,296$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.34 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…bedabacked Yes | 56c | 2,177$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 1,531$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.41 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,316$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 1,065$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 49c | 806.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 805.24$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 10c | 526.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed No | 5c | 523.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 438.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 41c | 404.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 370.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.33 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 43c | 349.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…48bebacked No | 57c | 349.01$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Yes | 48c | 318.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 79c | 318.33$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 52c | 304.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 16c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Yes | 53c | 299.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 64c | 276.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 59c | 255.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…31b0backed Yes | 57c | 216.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 45c | 198.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…785ebacked No | 16c | 166.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked No | 49c | 120.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 33c | 116.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 44c | 111.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 110.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 12c | 100.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 42c | 98.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a7…b726backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 56c | 80.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 45c | 79.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 52c | 77.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed No | 59c | 69.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 63.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 65c | 56.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Yes | 56c | 54.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 45.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 39.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…42d0backed No | 44c | 38.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 49c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 43c | 30.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…d75bbacked No | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed No | 59c | 29.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 56c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…6010backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 53c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 48c | 23.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd224…b035backed Yes | 54c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Benin vs. Liberia end in a draw?No won
- Will Liberia win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.