TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,932 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under44c40,048$17,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,470.542259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c18,113$10,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,791.1215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under43c16,651$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.871560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c4,621$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.014,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over57c3,941$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.835257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over56c3,860$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over56c3,702$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.795560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c3,194$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.136,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under51c2,136$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.9616753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c2,117$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.635652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c1,809$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.712263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c1,549$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.1550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Over57c1,161$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.431450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under43c822.16$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c757.94$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c743.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4817161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Over57c712.28$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under45c706.41$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30123258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c681.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.074445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under44c599.86$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.944835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Over55c521.84$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over56c507.14$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.143941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over46c499.82$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under54c477.78$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over57c404$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.721457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over49c326.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.735650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under44c322$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under36c270.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.489645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over56c267.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under44c239.97$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.595747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c235.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83df…362fbacked Under44c234.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under44c232.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.171,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under44c227.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over56c220$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.85757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c219.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over56c207.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c198$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9896445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under43c196.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Under33c195.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under44c185.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.672536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5732164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c178.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.562850%14 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4a…3f75backed Under45c175.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d6…04a8backed Under44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over47c164.89$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over57c161.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Under44c155$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.22231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under44c151.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff2…3b8bbacked Over67c147.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+94.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under44c143.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c137.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.662,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over56c132.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.474656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c130.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c129.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.881,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…6565backed Under9c129.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5514551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under28c123.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.231,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under44c112.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c112.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0918651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under45c108.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over56c104.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3959645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…9e20backed Under43c92.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under44c91.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a1f…b12cbacked Over56c91.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7240742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under44c87.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.285444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under46c86.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.973050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under44c85.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked Over56c82.91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over56c81.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0411850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.364264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under44c78.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.764942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Over57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.86450%32 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb892…96b4backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed Under44c67.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.