TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,246 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over44c142,335$62,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,627.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under56c93,050$52,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,941.8213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c57,439$33,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,743.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over36c9,775$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.691118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c5,255$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over15c3,950$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over33c3,700$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.999055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under57c2,816$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.223256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over32c2,300$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.793630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Under67c2,005$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under61c2,001$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.399246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over18c1,923$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Over46c1,829$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Under49c1,276$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.513458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over17c1,249$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.49733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c1,007$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33410739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c994.38$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over53c946.83$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over14c896.76$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under56c894.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9116753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8bd…ec2dbacked Under55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.275100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over48c642.05$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over19c622$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.183010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c612.7$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over49c510.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under57c460.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.264744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under49c457.6$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.383644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over51c450.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over29c437.93$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12710244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over17c415.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c401.2$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.221,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Over20c399.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over22c380$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over7c337.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over17c321$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over49c293.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.053545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under76c278.15$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.782733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over25c222.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over33c213.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.541947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c207.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.913953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.435334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4552…0333backed Under66c181.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.861163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over13c180$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6e…42d4backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over37c161.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3597…775fbacked Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over13c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over15c120.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c120.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6240821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under61c117.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6315353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under59c116.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3142658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8611753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over16c103.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4711850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528731%27 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over34c101.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.233650%18 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484161%25 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over33c98.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Under59c91.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.653868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2919441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…d6f0backed Over40c87.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c77.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over34c77.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under78c76.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under78c75.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.935052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Under68c73.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over52c69.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over40c68.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04cf…4175backed Over52c67.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under68c64.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under62c63.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.263050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over16c62.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under58c53.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4813748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over39c52.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.576160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.087143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under59c47.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under60c45.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.342766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8080…f99ebacked Over41c43.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.