Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f480a27b42fd9a2109cf14e5b7ee5d58da0cdc85b6747e01e403b3a4d91ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 12,667$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.84 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 79c | 6,741$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.06 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 80c | 4,364$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 4,131$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.23 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…82e4backed Over | 79c | 3,796$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,330$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,119$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 21c | 1,103$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 21c | 934.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 80c | 859$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 23c | 716.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.34 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 79c | 637.23$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 79c | 633.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Under | 22c | 615.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 78c | 613.64$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 80c | 582$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 485.66$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…793cbacked Over | 79c | 369.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…93d2backed Over | 80c | 317.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Over | 71c | 305.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 11c | 303$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afb…536abacked Under | 21c | 260.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 80c | 260$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 80c | 206$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 21c | 157.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 21c | 150.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Under | 22c | 132.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 8c | 131.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 79c | 125.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Over | 68c | 102.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…2619backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 78c | 93.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 90.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Under | 22c | 89.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 80c | 87.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…efe0backed Over | 78c | 84.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 73c | 82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…c2b7backed Over | 78c | 71.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Over | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 22c | 67.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…b00abacked Over | 80c | 66.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 24c | 65.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Under | 24c | 62.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…7cedbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…5ffcbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 61.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…fc91backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…61a0backed Over | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.