TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,812 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over35c113,765$39,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,947.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c55,408$29,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,416.56,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under65c38,780$25,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,207.1213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under65c35,146$22,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,898.1217557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Over33c8,744$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,858.393036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over33c8,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.9613444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over34c7,187$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.4415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under65c6,388$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,152.568146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Over34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over33c4,430$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.0750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c3,855$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.7585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under67c3,300$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2111,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under65c3,227$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.5512448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under67c3,134$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1007650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9802055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over79c2,658$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.2316753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over71c2,100$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under72c2,076$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under44c1,759$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.354744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.144924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Under67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under39c1,351$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.281947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under18c1,216$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.889733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over76c1,124$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.224158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under19c1,053$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2622335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over70c1,001$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8815470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over34c930$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under78c833.33$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed Over59c832.98$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under66c826.7$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under65c769.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.989350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c682.77$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.111,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c665.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3596445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under65c656.22$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.7339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under5c627.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.554411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40210874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over74c598.95$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.814143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c571.51$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.051,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under37c567.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under17c524.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under67c522.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under15c516.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.273531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under65c515$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under41c474$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under4c469.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under15c468.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0050…336cbacked Under66c454.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick72cpaid-60.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over60c449.79$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.831662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Under45c411.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.155362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under65c405.87$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over33c405.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under21c400.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over57c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17030059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under57c363.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3b…2293backed Over34c362.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under28c316.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.792,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19513461.2%82 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under66c299.25$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1997958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Under67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over35c285.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7410244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over23c273.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.969946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under55c271.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4515353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under67c268.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under65c255.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.59645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c244.7$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under68c239.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.071450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over32c239.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under66c237.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9820758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over32c230.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0674056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under67c223.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8836554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over34c218.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1718651.6%96 W · 90 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c217.67$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.934,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under66c210.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c199.18$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1840742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Under68c195.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under66c193.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.18259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Over34c171.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85016%8 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Under63c158.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over34c149$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.347855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under19c148$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0622242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over35c145.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.693545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under36c139$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.777162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Over36c137.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.616334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over32c131.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.111,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.