Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ceb1b422ce3f3b4a17b4086653cdbb7c146c5adc02adf0fb4f52e603375b1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 58c | 3,723$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.53 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,827$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 62c | 2,055$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.03 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.2 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 1,456$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.3 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 47c | 1,103$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 1,049$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 36c | 919.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 712.77$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Under | 49c | 673.47$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 659.02$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.09 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 69c | 576.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 43c | 524.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 505.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.71 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 49c | 213.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40bf…8bdcbacked Over | 42c | 174.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 58c | 171.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 42c | 167.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 148.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 59c | 135.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 59c | 129.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 122.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 115.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 60c | 109.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 59c | 90.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 80.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 76.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 74.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 65.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 41c | 61.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 44c | 53.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 48.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…4df6backed Under | 52c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 40c | 39.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 42c | 35.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db0…e017backed Over | 42c | 31.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 30.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…788ebacked Under | 61c | 30.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…5d0abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Over | 47c | 24.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8363…07d4backed Under | 60c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…9817backed Over | 61c | 18.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…b899backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 2.5this page
- South Africa vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Panama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.