Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ec2766ef0eae9c41692f00694b4b48acdc2c64133faabdee0e3bc362443466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 24c | 755.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 220.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 72c | 204.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 191.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 76c | 164.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 77c | 163.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Under | 38c | 158.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 138.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 127.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 32c | 116.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 77c | 115.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 108.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…0a74backed Over | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 76c | 82.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 75.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 52.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 50.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 32.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…190abacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 1.5this page
- South Africa vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Panama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.