NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4629f1c06e67080b5fed7b4cffd474674a071eb0bd5431e11468d3c6b0db216e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,512 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 3c | 52,661$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.96 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 1c | 5,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 4,763$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 1c | 4,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 30c | 2,381$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.77 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Under | 2c | 2,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,896$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 1c | 1,830$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,780$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 62c | 1,456$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 41c | 1,441$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.81 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 41c | 1,419$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.42 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Over | 68c | 1,074$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 37c | 958.36$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.59 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under | 53c | 944.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 73c | 903.21$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 16c | 886.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 43c | 816.08$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 55c | 756.56$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.6 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 54c | 729.36$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.58 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 689.38$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 651.76$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 609.84$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 595.24$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 483.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 427.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 41c | 413.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 401.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 377.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 352.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 347.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 41c | 346$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4ec1backed Over | 66c | 345.9$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Over | 74c | 337.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 22c | 335.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 327$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 322.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…a397backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Under | 34c | 244.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 48c | 230.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 17c | 222$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 17c | 221.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 42c | 214.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 22c | 209.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 47c | 203.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 52c | 202.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under | 48c | 197.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Over | 51c | 196.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 60c | 194.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 53c | 184.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 176$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 41c | 173.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 41c | 173$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…73d9backed Over | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Under | 11c | 146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 143.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Over | 60c | 133.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 57c | 122.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…98ddbacked Over | 53c | 121.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…e493backed Over | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 54c | 109$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Under | 46c | 108.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 62c | 94.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f13bbacked Over | 55c | 91.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 53c | 89.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 41c | 86.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 41c | 86.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 23c | 83.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 79.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. KingsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.