TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,202 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No58c935.71$545 inWon+$390.961,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes17c796.62$135 inLost-$135.4324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Yes41c582.92$239 inLost-$2395152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1579…cc72backed Yes43c563.35$244 inLost-$244.2140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c359.79$205 inWon+$154.594,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes40c315.87$125 inLost-$125.316342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed No57c314$179 inWon+$135.0917554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes42c275$116 inLost-$115.544747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No55c199.67$110 inWon+$89.6797049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes41c159.47$66 inLost-$663565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes45c134.53$61 inLost-$60.5493145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes50c100.8$50 inLost-$5014170.9%100 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bb9…6a60backed Yes45c98.71$44 inLost-$44.422142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No59c92.15$55 inWon+$37.3992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No59c85$50 inWon+$34.8527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No60c80.94$48 inWon+$32.6583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No51c64.05$33 inWon+$31.511,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Yes52c48.21$25 inLost-$256553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No48c41.21$20 inWon+$21.435,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6752…25c2backed Yes49c31.02$15 inLost-$15.26547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No57c30$17 inWon+$12.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7387…31b0backed Yes40c25$10 inLost-$105054%27 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No61c21.07$13 inWon+$8.2290357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed No60c20$12 inWon+$821049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a6…a36cbacked No55c19$10 inWon+$8.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No61c17.03$10 inWon+$6.6989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.