TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,759,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,759,668 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings11c555,555$61,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,111.0587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings13c274,505$35,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,685.6148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings10c39,286$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.181,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Kings12c33,600$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Kings1c25,170$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602536%9 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings0c24,260$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.235213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings13c22,238$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.7720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Kings13c20,390$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.6532540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Kings13c19,700$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5614445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings4c18,367$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.331,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings12c17,878$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.247028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings14c15,579$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings1c14,442$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.291,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Kings14c14,286$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings14c13,750$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings13c13,729$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.731,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c13,302$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.447211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings0c10,959$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fb…974abacked Kings1c10,201$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.035048%24 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kings14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Kings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Kings9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c8,850$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings14c8,666$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.2441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings14c8,100$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1341,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Kings12c8,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kings7c7,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings7c6,834$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.381,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98c…3996backed Kings13c6,320$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Kings13c5,226$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.3561336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings13c4,904$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Kings13c4,800$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6246943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings13c4,727$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Kings5c4,160$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…a9febacked Kings12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Kings1c3,666$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.985617.9%10 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x645a…0974backed Kings13c3,594$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.22922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings8c3,539$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.393,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Kings7c3,300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231300%0 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…f2d7backed Kings4c3,153$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Kings13c3,115$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Kings1c3,029$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.295935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0614…1245backed Kings13c2,930$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings13c2,801$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.1543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Kings13c2,700$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Kings11c2,660$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Kings13c2,206$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8418043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Kings1c1,913$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings14c1,876$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3312…437fbacked Kings13c1,769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.97933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Kings13c1,750$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8124138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Kings7c1,600$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11219443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings14c1,528$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.742,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Kings13c1,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked Kings14c1,397$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.582138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings14c1,373$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…cbe7backed Kings14c1,366$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaef…4f9cbacked Kings13c1,306$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Kings13c1,297$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17027846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Kings13c1,289$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5632330.7%99 W · 224 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Kings5c1,183$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings9c1,170$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kings6c1,124$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4125226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings8c1,103$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.761,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Kings14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings13c1,030$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kings14c1,004$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1473131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43b1…b696backed Kings13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc6…ae58backed Kings13c997$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…0798backed Kings14c950$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Kings14c892.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Kings14c892.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Kings14c892.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9911642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Kings14c892.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9915441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Kings13c864$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings13c854.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.081,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Kings16c834.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4914450.7%73 W · 71 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Kings11c830.54$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6724946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings13c799.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Kings14c786.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Kings14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Kings14c742.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f00…be86backed Kings14c715.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings14c714.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Kings11c678.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0236843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf1…c48fbacked Kings13c669$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Kings13c665.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5824846.8%116 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings2c648.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Kings10c646.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings3c583.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Kings14c580.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2136950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings6c549.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings7c546.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca32…47f0backed Kings14c527.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.867042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Kings14c509.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.385550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Kings14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.