NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6bb11f29a8d0a2b71ab57d77e1d40caad930f96708f141ec469246b396e189a

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,682 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5aec…b4cebacked Over	64c	4,325$2,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.45	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	3,004$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.24	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	44c	2,962$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under	51c	2,900$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.9	104	50%52 W · 52 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	52c	2,050$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.08	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.08	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	1,878$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under	10c	1,349$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.52	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Over	61c	1,316$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.21	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2637…3f01backed Under	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+72%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	47c	938.96$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.31	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under	29c	692.44$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.02	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4361…9408backed Over	49c	608.89$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Under	57c	518.07$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.07	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	58c	493.89$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.33	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	47c	478.28$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.68	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	49c	450$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.5	107	64.5%69 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	48c	428.61$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.88	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	4c	415.45$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.83	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Under	47c	402.32$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.32	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6b04backed Under	58c	396.48$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under	52c	382.98$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.98	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	49c	347.22$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under	31c	300$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	236	49.2%116 W · 120 L	+28.6wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	249	55.8%139 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under	26c	270.77$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.76	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	242.94$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.41	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab5…aa48backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	42c	187.88$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.9	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under	18c	176.96$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.91	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over	51c	154.52$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.71	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	15c	150$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+7.9wins	+0.20per pick	18cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over	48c	126.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.45	376	65.4%246 W · 130 L	+62.0wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6659…4b69backed Under	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Under	31c	120$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.2	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under	13c	115.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.79	302	24.8%75 W · 227 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under	51c	115.2$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.45	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Under	31c	110$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.27	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Under	31c	105.95$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.46	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	384	64.3%247 W · 137 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under	55c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under	26c	85.53$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.72	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed Over	48c	83.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2f…1bffbacked Under	31c	80$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.6	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Under	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	47c	75.9$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.23	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over	47c	72.8$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over	48c	68$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	295	56.6%167 W · 128 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Under	31c	66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	46c	61.65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	156	62.8%98 W · 58 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Under	76c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over	53c	58.3$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	275	39.6%109 W · 166 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Over	55c	57.91$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under	30c	55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.25	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under	31c	52.73$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.58	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under	64c	52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under	30c	46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	234	41.5%97 W · 137 L	+13.6wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Under	55c	45.18$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over	49c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	47c	44.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	47c	44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	236	51.3%121 W · 115 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	52c	42.31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	46c	41$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.14	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59d…0822backed Under	45c	32.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.12	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over	61c	30.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	390	55.6%217 W · 173 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Over	62c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	424	34.4%146 W · 278 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	49c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	24.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under	52c	23.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.42	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	80c	23.4$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.68	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	52c	21.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under	60c	20.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under	54c	20.37$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4a…232fbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over	54c	19.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Dylan Harper: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. KingsSpurs won
Spurs vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event