TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc949…fa93backed Kings52c10,000$5,200 inLost-$5,2008153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Spurs48c6,136$2,945 inWon+$3,190.7225049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Spurs48c2,738$1,314 inWon+$1,423.799952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs48c2,261$1,085 inWon+$1,175.721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings52c1,035$536 inLost-$536.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Kings52c867.88$451 inLost-$451.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Spurs48c687.5$330 inWon+$357.59952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Kings52c400$208 inLost-$2084850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Spurs48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.3364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Spurs48c200$96 inWon+$10495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spurs51c102.25$52 inWon+$50.5857444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Spurs52c68.15$35 inWon+$32.716553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings48c68.15$33 inLost-$32.712,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Spurs52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings50c30$15 inLost-$151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings48c25.05$12 inLost-$12.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kings54c22.41$12 inLost-$12.129645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.