TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$780,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $780,451 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c236,476$122,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,782.3660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c216,890$108,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,379.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c194,389$94,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,431.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over50c188,006$94,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,002.921,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over51c159,233$81,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,172.187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c150,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,999.8526253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c33,427$16,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,442.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over50c22,124$11,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,061.647638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Under49c14,350$7,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.241464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over52c11,779$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.8927455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c11,543$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c10,063$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,953.375750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under50c9,945$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,972.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over51c8,263$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,062.758648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c7,800$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,74431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c5,355$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.5652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c5,056$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over49c3,980$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.8418151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c3,506$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.0524942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over52c2,913$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c2,841$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under49c2,800$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.995547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c2,443$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.841,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over52c2,304$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.1430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c2,182$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.5341947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over52c2,150$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.5548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over52c1,644$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.8322552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76514244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under57c1,500$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1343544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,480$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c1,451$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.0989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under40c1,291$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.3124138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over54c1,212$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.6165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over51c1,169$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9320963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c1,165$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over52c1,152$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.0512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,115$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over52c1,068$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.6311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,013$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.945,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Under48c975.02$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.015040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under40c909.4$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.764050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over52c884.6$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under47c867.15$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5616338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c861.34$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c700.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.241,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over53c647.34$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.926756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over52c636$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.87948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c590.81$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd022…3834backed Over60c571.67$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Under50c504.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c1…b52abacked Over49c503.91$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…6ecbbacked Over52c472.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.238046.3%37 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over52c470.81$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c469.43$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.871,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Over60c466.65$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.666144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under44c456.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.071,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over48c439.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0823435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under49c429.35$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.387843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Over52c409.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.622853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over45c403.71$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5718835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over56c376.34$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over52c374.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.530654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c373.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over52c372.39$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c363.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.62,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over51c350$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6722748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under37c349.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over51c306.72$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.296259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17114059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under49c279.41$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1324946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c266.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over52c266$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0423655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over39c263.44$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under57c257.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14811855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12053945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c249.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.852,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c244.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under53c240.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Under51c231$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.445042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over55c228.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over52c227.31$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2819659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0159144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over61c196.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4c…0398backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0819054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over51c192.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce0…18d6backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d6…e891backed Under59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over52c176$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8514452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over51c171.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2522154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over60c162.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3322953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7242853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over50c149.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6253339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.