NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fae4287670f230cf30ec7fcb4133903445c6c12a0893fdf312e30504b65f544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 337,000$161,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,241.16 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 53c | 93,284$49,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,440.31 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 91,010$47,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,325.39 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 68,041$35,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,307.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 44,542$23,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,137.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 14,030$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.45 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 12,021$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.57 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 11,972$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,048$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 6,281$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 3,430$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 3,130$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,787$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 2,022$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 1,303$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.71 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.64 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 52c | 930$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 43c | 913.83$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.73 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 54c | 911.9$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.43 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 899.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 48c | 857.38$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.79 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 56c | 688.14$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Under | 53c | 681.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 74c | 665.33$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 158 | 63.9%101 W · 57 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 649.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 596.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 51c | 588.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 562.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 539$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Over | 56c | 531.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 38c | 500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 56c | 410.22$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 54c | 400.46$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Under | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 47c | 399.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 369.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 325.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 47c | 312.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 309.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 293.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 64c | 286.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 262.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…b52abacked Under | 26c | 244.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 13c | 237.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Under | 54c | 196$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 22c | 174.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 46c | 173.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 53c | 165.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 146.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 144.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 52c | 139.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 138.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 56c | 124.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…0857backed Over | 49c | 119.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b357backed Over | 53c | 118.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 50c | 104.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 48c | 99.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 52c | 96.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 95.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 93.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Over | 58c | 74.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Over | 51c | 70.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Under | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 66.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 53c | 63.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…679ebacked Under | 47c | 63.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Over | 57c | 61.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. KingsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.